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Examining concerns regarding matchmaking anywhere between temperature, ice volume, and you can sea level over the past 50 million age

Examining concerns regarding matchmaking anywhere between temperature, ice volume, and you can sea level over the past 50 million age

Examining uncertainties about relationships ranging from temperatures, frost frequency, and sea-level for the past 50 million ages

For the past decade, services to help you estimate temperature and you may sea-level for the past 50 Ma have raised. Within the parallel, efforts so you’re able to model ice sheet changes during this time period was indeed constant. I remark composed paleodata and you will acting work to render skills for the just how sea level responds so you can modifying temperature by way of changes in freeze volume and you can thermal expansion. So far, heat so you’re able to sea-level matchmaking might have been looked towards change off glacial so you can interglacial says. Attempts to synthesize the temperature so you’re able to sea level relationship into the deeper day, when heat was indeed notably more comfortable than simply establish, was indeed tentative. I basic remark the current heat and you can sea level data and you will design simulations, having a discussion out-of suspicion for the every one of these ways. I next synthesize the sea height and you may heat studies and acting results i have examined to check on possible forms to the sea height in place of temperatures matchmaking. About longer timescale there aren’t any around the globe user temperatures proxies, thereby i browse the that it relationship using strong-ocean temperatures facts https://datingranking.net/nl/connexion-overzicht/ and you may facial skin temperature facts away from highest and you will low latitudes. It is sometimes complicated to recognize within some other probable forms of the heat so you can sea-level dating because of the wide mistakes related toward proxy estimates. We argue that to own epidermis highest-latitude Southern Hemisphere heat and you may deep-sea heat, the rate away from changes off sea-level to help you temperatures has not yet stayed constant, we.age., linear, over the past 50 Ma, as the relationship stays uncertain for the readily available lowest-latitude skin heat analysis. A beneficial nonlinear mode ranging from temperature and you can sea level is actually consistent with ice-sheet acting studies. Which relationships shall be associated with (1) various glacial thresholds to have Southern area Hemisphere glaciation as compared to North Hemisphere glaciation and you will (2) the fresh new ice-sheet holding skill of Antarctic continent.

1. Introduction

Understanding and predicting glacier and ice sheet dynamics is notoriously difficult [ Alley et al., 2005 ; Allison et al., 2009 ], and as a result, in their fourth assessment report the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change did not provide sea level projections that accounted for rapid dynamical changes in ice flow [ Solomon et al., 2007 ]. The observational record contains worrying examples of nonlinear threshold type responses, such as the collapse of the Larsen B ice shelf and subsequent surging of glaciers [ De Angelis and Skvarca, 2003 ; Rignot et al., 2004 ]. However, the observational record does not help us constrain large changes to the ice sheets. Although there is no known analog to projected future warming in the paleoclimate record [ Crowley, 1990 ; Haywood et al., 2011 ], it does contain examples of large-scale changes to the ice sheets [ a ]. The paleoclimate record can therefore aid understanding of ice sheet behavior and provide insight into the plausibility of large ice sheet changes in a warming world [ Scherer et al., 1998 ; Pollard and ]. By looking to the paleoclimate record we can also attempt to better understand the relationship between different climate parameters, such as temperature, atmospheric CO2, ice volume, and sea level [ Rohling et al., 2009 ].

Over the past fifty million decades, eustatic sea level possess varied ranging from ?one hundred m a lot more than contained in the early Eocene (?56–forty two Ma), whenever there’s almost no residential property ice in the world and you will the ocean basin volume is lower than introduce [ Miller mais aussi al., 2005a ; Kominz et al., 2008 ; Miller et al., 2009a ], and 120–140 meters below present [ Fairbanks, 1989 ; Yokoyama et al., 2000 ] over the past Glacial Restriction (LGM; 19–23 ka), whenever there were high ice sheet sets in the Antarctica, America, China, and you will Europe [ Clark et al., 2009 ]. (Italicized words is discussed throughout the glossary, following the main text message.) With this timescale, highest (more than ten meters) eustatic sea level differences have been triggered predominately because of the alterations in the volume out of property frost [ Miller mais aussi al., 2005a ]. Broadly, there are five ice-sheet states, such becoming (1) mostly unglaciated criteria, (2) a great glaciated East Antarctic, (3) interglacial criteria with an increase of ice sheet sets from the West Antarctic and you may Greenland (i.e., present-go out conditions), and you can (4) glacial standards with the a lot more growth of high freeze sheets in the the brand new North Hemisphere [ de Boer mais aussi al., 2012 ]. The fresh new glaciation of one’s East Antarctic is also after that broken into an intermediate county having ephemeral hill ice hats and you can a completely glaciated county [ ].

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17
Jun, 2024
18
Jun, 2024
1
Adults
0
Children